Common Cause Analyzes LATFOR Maps

Posted by: SusanLerner  /  Comments: 2

Numerical analysis of three criteria: minority districts, population deviation, and county divisions

A day after LATFOR released the official electoral maps for New York State, Common Cause/NY offered up a numerical analysis of how the lines stack up against its alternative reform map. Measured against three criteria, LATFOR’s maps egregiously disadvantage minority communities, abuse the federally mandated principle of ‘one person one vote’, and violate the constitutional provision to avoid crossing county lines whenever possible.

“After further analysis, LATFOR’s maps are even more atrocious than we previously realized. Both majorities went out of their way to protect their political interests to the detriment of the public interest. The maps completely undermine the essence of our democracy and must be revised to reflect the demographic reality of New York State,” said Susan Lerner, Executive Director of Common Cause/NY.

Minority Communities: LATFOR vs. Common Cause Reform Plan

State Senate

Non-Hispanic Black:

LATFOR: 7 majority, 6 influence

Common Cause Reform: 7 majority, 8 influence

Hispanic:

LATFOR: 6 majority, 8 influence

Common Cause Reform: 6 majority, 1 near-majority (47.4%), 10 influence

Non-Hispanic Asian:

LATFOR: 1 majority, 3 influence

Common Cause Reform: 1 majority, 5 influence

State Assembly

Non-Hispanic Black:

LATFOR: 15 majority, 17 influence

Common Cause Reform: 17 majority, 17 influence

Hispanic:

LATFOR: 14 majority, 21 influence

Common Cause Reform: 16 majority, 18 influence

Non-Hispanic Asian:

LATFOR: 3 majority, 8 influence

Common Cause Reform: 3 majority, 10 influence

Population Deviation: LATFOR vs. Common Cause Reform Maps

State Senate

In LATFOR’s maps, the population deviations range from -4.97% to + 3.83%, with an absolute mean deviation of 3.67%. The biggest difference in district size is 27,035 people.

• There are 26 upstate districts, with a mean deviation of -4.5%

• There are 28 NYC/Westchester districts, with a mean deviation of + 3.3%

In the Common Cause Reform Plan, the population deviation ranges from -2.9% to +2.59%, with a mean deviation of 1.4%. The biggest difference in district size is 16,864 people.

• 25 upstate districts, with a mean deviation of -0.49%

• 29 NYC/Westchester districts, with a mean deviation of -0.43%

State Assembly

In LATFOR’s maps, the population deviations range from -3.88% to + 4.06%, which is a mean deviation of 2.56%. The biggest difference in district size is 10,259 people.

• 63 districts upstate, with a mean deviation of +2.44%

• 65 NYC districts, with a mean deviation of -2.32%

In the Common Cause Reform Plan, the population deviations range from -1.79% to +2.96%, with a mean deviation of 1.06%. The biggest difference in district size is 6,121 people.

• 64 Upstate, with a mean deviation of +0.65%

• 64 NYC, with a mean deviation of -0.61%

County Crossings

The LATFOR plan for the Senate crosses 16 small upstate counties:

• Putnam

• Rockland

• Dutchess

• Delaware

• Albany

• Saratoga

• Washington

• Chenango

• Herkimer

• Oneida

• Ontario

• Livingston

• St. Lawrence

• Cayuga

• Ulster

• Tompkins

In so doing, LATFOR divides three small upstate counties (St. Lawrence, Cayuga, and Tompkins) between three senate districts, and divides Ulster County between four senate districts

In contrast, the Common Cause Reform Plan crosses only nine small upstate counties:

• Putnam

• Ulster

• Dutchess

• Rensselaer

• Saratoga

• Broome

• Oswego

• Niagara

• Herkimer

The reform maps do not divide any small counties into more than two districts.

Background

In December, Common Cause released a set of proposed Congressional and State maps drawn according to good government principles, available for New Yorkers to view and adjust on the UMapNY application on Newsday’s website, Newsday.com.

The maps can also be viewed here: www.citizenredistrictny.org/reform-maps

The Common Cause reform maps are drawn according to the following criteria:

• Respect one-person, one-vote by drawing state legislative districts with a population deviation of no more than +/- 3% from the ideal value, with a mean deviation for the whole plan within 1%.

• Compliance with the federal Voting Rights Act.

• Respect communities of interest by drawing districts that reflect the social, cultural, racial, ethnic, and economic interests common to the population of the area. A community of interest is a local population with common social and economic interests that would benefit from the unified political representation provided by inclusion within a single political district.

• Traditional redistricting factors, like contiguity, compactness and respect for county, city, town, village, and school district lines whenever possible.

• Following an “incumbent blind” process and one that does not seek to advantage any particular political party in drawing the lines

• Re-allocating incarcerated persons back to their districts of last residence

2 Comments

Mark Haber

February 26, 2012

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Unfortunately the members of the New York State Legislature DO NOT understand the concept of Jeffersonian democracy. And the vast majority ARE the worst type of political hacks. They have total contempt for the voting public. I will be very disappointed if Governor Cuomo does not veto this outrage.

David Britt

January 27, 2012

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The redistricting maps draw by LATFOR are just another cynical and perverse example of political corruption in NY State. Anyone associated with the drawing of these maps should be immediately targeted as the worst kind of political hack and removed from office by the voters at the earliest opportunity.

I hope the courts throw these maps out, I also hope the governor stands by his pledge to veto them.

to quote Judge Haller in “My Cousin Vinny” the maps that Common Cause produced are:

“lucid, intelligent, & well thought-out” .

The legislature should run as far as possible from the LATFOR maps and adopt the Common Cause maps as a symbol that they understand the concept of Jeffersonian democracy.